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Nov 2, 2012
11/12
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richard kelly is joining us. welcome. >> good morning. >> let's start quickly with the impact of the storm bigger than anyone first thought. what impact will have from a macro point of view? >> the estimates always get revised up about so it still may be slightly meer. but even $30 billion to $50 billion puts you at gdp. and then that does not include the fact that there is some sort of rebuilding that you for being tore in. >> is it fair to say the bigger the drop, the bigger the bounce back or is that not always true? >> it's not always true. it depends how much of a long term impact there have been. we can go back to katrina which was the largest destruction where the actual costs were around $150 billion. >> you can go to our website to find out why new york is looking a lot leak amsterdam fp has something to do with bicycles. and you can tune in tonight at 8:00 p.m. for hurricane sandy coming together, a benefit concert to aid victims of the storm. hosted by matt lauer. the concert will feature performances
richard kelly is joining us. welcome. >> good morning. >> let's start quickly with the impact of the storm bigger than anyone first thought. what impact will have from a macro point of view? >> the estimates always get revised up about so it still may be slightly meer. but even $30 billion to $50 billion puts you at gdp. and then that does not include the fact that there is some sort of rebuilding that you for being tore in. >> is it fair to say the bigger the drop, the...
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Nov 21, 2012
11/12
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thank you for joining us. the central bank has been criticized by some for not cutting sooner and more aggressively. and the key policy rate still sits at 4.5% with growth coming down so rapidly, shouldn't the bank be moving more quickly. >> well, of course, i can talk about myself and my own views, and i think that we are trying still to continue saying normal monetary policy, and when i look around in europe, especially western europe, i don't see many similar cases. that does not necessarily mean that we are wrong. >> who are you more critical of, the bank of england with its qe policy, or the ecb, which has been r been resistant on moving more quickly? >> i would put more criticism on the bank of england or the fed. in any case, i would agree with what a german philosopher once wrote in 2009 that would resolve around policies that it is a kind of a robbery of the future by the present. we are trying to avoid that. to an extent, it is possible for a small open economy. >> all well and good academically, but
thank you for joining us. the central bank has been criticized by some for not cutting sooner and more aggressively. and the key policy rate still sits at 4.5% with growth coming down so rapidly, shouldn't the bank be moving more quickly. >> well, of course, i can talk about myself and my own views, and i think that we are trying still to continue saying normal monetary policy, and when i look around in europe, especially western europe, i don't see many similar cases. that does not...
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Nov 26, 2012
11/12
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jim dunagan joins us. that number that i gist quoted, how does that compare to last year's costs of buying all the items? >> for the true cost of christmas, we're up 4.8% this year and if you bought all of the items, 6.1%. >> what's been driving the rise? cost of food and feeding geese? >> culprits were the six geese and the seven swans a swimming were up the most, and that was due to the drought we had in the united states that pushed up feed prices and also energy. and gold rings were up 16% this year. >> is there anything in there that has actually got cheaper over the year? >> this is one year that in fact nothing has gone down this year. so we had six items which were flat, but the balance were all up. good news is that the maids a milking were flat as were the ladies dancing and lords of leaping all saw no increase this year. >> does that reflect the fact that wages haven't really done enough? flat wages? >> if we look at the overall wages in the index, they're bup 1.7%. drummers and pipers went up 5
jim dunagan joins us. that number that i gist quoted, how does that compare to last year's costs of buying all the items? >> for the true cost of christmas, we're up 4.8% this year and if you bought all of the items, 6.1%. >> what's been driving the rise? cost of food and feeding geese? >> culprits were the six geese and the seven swans a swimming were up the most, and that was due to the drought we had in the united states that pushed up feed prices and also energy. and gold...
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Nov 1, 2012
11/12
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dan, stay with us. we'll be back with you in just a second. >> no signs of any real pick up from japan's consumer giant in their latest earnings. still battling a stubbornly strong yen, weak demand. sony numbers all missed market expectations. market cap 120 billion, this year worth only $11 billion. >> ouch. >> how the mighty can fall. >> and panasonic trading at it lowest level since 1978. so really a lot of trouble in the japanese tech sector. sharp lost more than $3 billion in its latest quarter despite being profitable a year earlier. still sharp's president admits the company will turn to profit helped by massive job cuts and the sale of overseas assets. >> and still to come, big lines at gas stations in the u.s. hit by sandy. we'll discuss the outlook for prices with a guest who says shortages will continue for several days in the hardest hit areas. >>> plenty of focus on energy today. weaker prices taking their toll on shell. posting a 15% drop in its third quarter profit following a fall in pri
dan, stay with us. we'll be back with you in just a second. >> no signs of any real pick up from japan's consumer giant in their latest earnings. still battling a stubbornly strong yen, weak demand. sony numbers all missed market expectations. market cap 120 billion, this year worth only $11 billion. >> ouch. >> how the mighty can fall. >> and panasonic trading at it lowest level since 1978. so really a lot of trouble in the japanese tech sector. sharp lost more than $3...
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Nov 9, 2012
11/12
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joining us is stefan. thanks for joining us. how much can we discount hurricane sandy and how much might it be of benefit in terms of helping to harden rates? >> well, as far as it looks now, it's not really an event basically having a big influence on rates. we did have a lot of capital in the reinsurance industry and in that regard, plenty of capacity. so estimated 17 to 20 billion for insurance losses whether not really be enough to have a real impact on pricing. but i think psychologically, it will help to shape rates going forward and especially also next year into july with renewals in the u.s. and worldwide having a small positive impact. but generally the average reinsurance rate environment will not change based on sandy loss only. >> what's your take on the insurers generally speaking, do you like them as group, what are issues they need to face to see share outperformance? >> it will some quite some time to get some decent estimates. there's uncertainties in many regards and clearly estimates my tend upwards from the
joining us is stefan. thanks for joining us. how much can we discount hurricane sandy and how much might it be of benefit in terms of helping to harden rates? >> well, as far as it looks now, it's not really an event basically having a big influence on rates. we did have a lot of capital in the reinsurance industry and in that regard, plenty of capacity. so estimated 17 to 20 billion for insurance losses whether not really be enough to have a real impact on pricing. but i think...
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Nov 15, 2012
11/12
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eunice has more for us this morning. it sounds like a pretty signature consolidation of power under xi. >> definitely is a consolidation of power. he'll get a very strong mandate as you had mentioned to run this country the way that he wants. he gets the three top titles, the most powerful are party chief, president as well as military commander. that is very significant because it allows him to have more control over his own agenda. when he went to meet the press this morning, he was looking very casual, looking a about folksy. when he was youtd lining the challenges ahead for the nation. >> our party faces many challenges and there are many pressing problems that need to be resolved. the problems among our party members of corruption, taking bribes, being out of touch with the people, undue emphasis on formalities must be addressed with great efforts. the whole party must be vigilant against them. >> the problem is, though, that it's still unclear how he's going to tackle all of those challenges and just how aggressive
eunice has more for us this morning. it sounds like a pretty signature consolidation of power under xi. >> definitely is a consolidation of power. he'll get a very strong mandate as you had mentioned to run this country the way that he wants. he gets the three top titles, the most powerful are party chief, president as well as military commander. that is very significant because it allows him to have more control over his own agenda. when he went to meet the press this morning, he was...
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Nov 6, 2012
11/12
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he used the u.n., nato, much more of an internationalist, using the transatlantic institutions, networks that are in place to sort of bring europe back into the fold, firm up the alliance. let's remember romney did make his own campaign trip to europe. it will be remembered mostly by his gaffes in britain and poland, but it's telling that he chose britt tip and poland as places he visited. toes were two members of the bush era, both members who participated in the iraq war, full supporters of that war. is there was worry that the national would be pushed aside. particularly among foreign policy elites here in europe. >> peter, thanks for that. good to speak to you. >> we're also on central bank watch this week and the rba decided to hold off on further easing. this report comes from sydney. >> it was always going to be a call and it has surprised some in the market leaving rates unchanged. aussie dollar hitting session highs above 1.04 u.s. the banks did leave the door open for further stimulus highlighting the strength in the aussie dollar and saying policy is appropriate for the time b
he used the u.n., nato, much more of an internationalist, using the transatlantic institutions, networks that are in place to sort of bring europe back into the fold, firm up the alliance. let's remember romney did make his own campaign trip to europe. it will be remembered mostly by his gaffes in britain and poland, but it's telling that he chose britt tip and poland as places he visited. toes were two members of the bush era, both members who participated in the iraq war, full supporters of...
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Nov 13, 2012
11/12
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justin, thanks for joining us. first of all, this little spat on the two year extension, how much >> of course they're politicians and in jean claude's own words, different circumstances. they have to get reelected. christine lagarde is head of the imf and the imf needs to get the problem sorted out as quickly as possible regardless of political concerns. so you can see which way they're coming from here. as i say, the mnumber 120% is plucked out of the air. there already appears differences over what the current 2020 is, some are saying 14 #%. but reporting that some of the troy came members are saying this, others saying between 140 and 150. of course they do rely on quite a lot of assumptions about gross tax receipts and spending cuts. >> with a matters isn't the 2020 versus 2022 language. what they're implying is whether the official sector has to take. yesterday we heard smaghi say he thinks a maturity extension will happen. so is that going to extend to the official sector and does it have to in your view? >>
justin, thanks for joining us. first of all, this little spat on the two year extension, how much >> of course they're politicians and in jean claude's own words, different circumstances. they have to get reelected. christine lagarde is head of the imf and the imf needs to get the problem sorted out as quickly as possible regardless of political concerns. so you can see which way they're coming from here. as i say, the mnumber 120% is plucked out of the air. there already appears...
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Nov 12, 2012
11/12
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dominic is still with us. i suppose the question is what we've sort of global equities have priced in in terms of a scenario for the fiscal cliff. what do you think it is? >> i think markets have been sanguine about the whole issue and it's only after the election that we began to see nervousness. and i still think the likely outcome is the market will have to put further pressure on both sides before a deal is finally done. and i actually don't think we'll good a deal done this side of the new year. >> you yu don't? >> no, i don't. because the republicans have put themselves in a difficult position because they've actually said no way that they will endorse tax hikes. if they allow the tax increases to automatically go through on the 31st, they can then talk about tax cuts for the middle classes in january. it's cynical, but it may be what actually happens. >> so what happens on that? because there are some saying u.s. equitieses have already priced in the fiscal cliff and they look at it as a measuring of eq
dominic is still with us. i suppose the question is what we've sort of global equities have priced in in terms of a scenario for the fiscal cliff. what do you think it is? >> i think markets have been sanguine about the whole issue and it's only after the election that we began to see nervousness. and i still think the likely outcome is the market will have to put further pressure on both sides before a deal is finally done. and i actually don't think we'll good a deal done this side of...
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Nov 8, 2012
11/12
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eunice is live for us. this is his big final speech, so reading in sort of between the lines almost is very telling. it's the legacy he's trying to cath. and what less gassy is that? >> many here believe what he is saying is significant in that it is his final farewell. he really was just reading through the work report to talks about the achievements, the economic and political achievements that the party has had. and also to outline the future challenges. one of the first challenges you had already addressed is the issue of corruption. he said the government needed to do more to root it out. >> eunice, we're having trouble with your sound. we'll get the bite rolled as soon as we can. when we hear from -- i'd like to go back to eunice if we can to stay on this issue. but there's been a lot of focus in the last couple of days as to whether china's next leaders will be reformists or conservatives and just what the influence is of some of the older party leaders. so should investors actually be bracing not fo
eunice is live for us. this is his big final speech, so reading in sort of between the lines almost is very telling. it's the legacy he's trying to cath. and what less gassy is that? >> many here believe what he is saying is significant in that it is his final farewell. he really was just reading through the work report to talks about the achievements, the economic and political achievements that the party has had. and also to outline the future challenges. one of the first challenges you...
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Nov 5, 2012
11/12
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does it really do us much good. pmi reading sub 50 with qe -- >> is the government going to be outvoted this week? his comments have seen to be pinned more towards more rather than lessor not doing anything. charlie bean came out and said i can't see the point of it. >> one thing this economy isn't suffering from is too much growth. so it's not -- the fls is the weapon of choice right now. >> it's a bit of a struggle to figure out what the message is here for the uk economy. you have the employment set of figures which has been stronger than the gdp figure until the gdp figures showed a rebound in the third quarter which now the composite pmi might be fleeting and it points towards weaker growth ahead. >> you have to strip out all of the noise. for my money, we've been growing at about a quarter percent quarter on quarter so not brilliant, but not a disaster either. i think they will start to cool off here the post owe him tick layoffs and they should cast down in reality, but i've said that the last four or five mo
does it really do us much good. pmi reading sub 50 with qe -- >> is the government going to be outvoted this week? his comments have seen to be pinned more towards more rather than lessor not doing anything. charlie bean came out and said i can't see the point of it. >> one thing this economy isn't suffering from is too much growth. so it's not -- the fls is the weapon of choice right now. >> it's a bit of a struggle to figure out what the message is here for the uk economy....
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Nov 29, 2012
11/12
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let us know. worldwide@cnbc.com, @cnbcwex. >>> stick around because coming up, mervyn king is out with the uk's financial stability report and rumors are swirling about new capital requirements for banks. >>> tim geithner will head to capitol hill today to meet with congressional leaders on, yes, the fiscal cliff. geithner's president lead negotiator in the budget talks. he'll meet first with harry reid at 10:00 a.m. and then with house republicans including speaker john boehner, eric cantor and paul ryan. geithner will lunch with mitch mcconnell and then house minority leader nancy pelosi. president obama is signaling he's flexible on on where tax rates should go for the wealthiest americans. a return to the clinton era tax rates would have households pay between 36% to 39%. the president met with a group of 14 ceos wednesday afternoon. they offered support for resolving the if i can crisis with a proposal for higher taxes for those who make more than a quarter million dollars a year. sdl bo >> b
let us know. worldwide@cnbc.com, @cnbcwex. >>> stick around because coming up, mervyn king is out with the uk's financial stability report and rumors are swirling about new capital requirements for banks. >>> tim geithner will head to capitol hill today to meet with congressional leaders on, yes, the fiscal cliff. geithner's president lead negotiator in the budget talks. he'll meet first with harry reid at 10:00 a.m. and then with house republicans including speaker john...